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Preprints

  1. Zaliapin, I. and Y. Ben-Zion (2013a) Earthquake clusters in southern California, I: Identification and stability. In review. [PDF, 2.1 M]

  2. Zaliapin, I. and Y. Ben-Zion (2013b) Earthquake clusters in southern California, II: Classification and relation to physical properties of the crust. In review. [PDF, 1.5 M]

  3. Ghil, M. and I. Zaliapin (2012) El Nino/Southern Oscillation: Impacts, Modeling and Forecasts, In Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards, P. Bobrowsky (Ed.), Springer.

  4. Gabrielov, A., V. Keilis-Borok, S. Olsen, and I. Zaliapin (2013) Predictability of extreme events in a branching diffusion model. [PDF, 250 Kb]

Publications by date (most recent - first)

  1. Zanardo, S., I. Zaliapin, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2013) Are American rivers Tokunaga self-similar? New results on river network topology and its climatic dependence. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 1-18, doi:10.1002/jgrf.20029 [PDF, 2.1 M]

  2. Zaliapin, I. and Y. Kovchegov (2012) Tokunaga and Horton self-similarity for level set trees of Markov chains. Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals, 45, 358-372. [PDF 620K]

  3. Ghil et al. (2011) Extreme events: Dynamics, statistics and prediction. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 18, 295-350. [PDF, 4.3Mb]

  4. Zaliapin, I. and Y. Ben-Zion (2011) Asymmetric distribution of early aftershocks on large faults in California. Geophys. J. Intl., 185, 1288-1304. [PDF, 1.9Mb]

  5. Zaliapin I. and M. Ghil (2011) Reply to Roe and Baker's comment on "Another look at climate sensitivity" by Zaliapin and Ghil (2010) Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 18, 129-131. [PDF, 0.2Mb]

  6. Ikeda, K. et al. (2011) CK1 activates minus-end directed transport of membrane organelles along microtubules. Molecular Biology of the Cell, 22, 1321-1329 [PDF, 2.2Mb]

  7. Zaliapin I. and M. Ghil (2010) Another look at climate sensitivity. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 17, 113-122. [PDF, 0.7Mb]

  8. Zaliapin, I. and M. Ghil (2010) A delay differential model of ENSO variability, Part 2: Phase locking, multiple solutions, and dynamics of extrema. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 17, 113-122. [PDF, 2.0Mb]

  9. Zaliapin, I., E. Foufoula-Georgiou, and M. Ghil (2009) Transport on river networks: A dynamical approach. J. Geophys. Res., 115, F00A15, doi:10.1029/2009JF001281 [PDF,500Kb] arXiv:0902.1554v1

  10. Semenova, I., A. Burakov, N. Berardone, I. Zaliapin, T. Svitkina, A. Kashina, and V. Rodionov (2008) Actin dynamics is essential for myosin-based transport of membrane organelles. Current Biology, 18, 1-6. doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2008.08.070

  11. Lomakin, A. J., I. Semenova, I. Zaliapin, P. Kraikivski, E. Nadezhdina, B. M. Slepchenko, A. Akhmanova, and V. Rodionov (2009) Clip-170-dependent capture of membrane organelles by microtubules initiates minus-end directed transport,Developmental Cell, 17, 1-11, doi:10.1016/j.devcel.2009.07.010.

  12. Gabrielov, A., V. Keilis-Borok, Y. Sinai, and I. Zaliapin (2008) Statistical properties of the cluster dynamics of the systems of statistical mechanics. ESI Lecture Notes in Mathematics and Physics: Boltzmann's Legacy, European Mathematical Society, G. Gallavotti, W. Reiter and J. Yngvason (Eds.), 203-216.[PDF, 0.5M]

  13. Zaliapin, I., A. Gabrielov, V. Keilis-Borok, and H. Wong (2008) Clustering analysis of seismicity and aftershock identification. Phys. Rev. Lett., 101, 018501. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.101.018501. [PDF, 1M]

  14. Ghil, M., I. Zaliapin, and S. Thompson (2008) A delay differential model of ENSO variability: parametric instability and the distribution of extremes. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 15, 417-433, 2008. [PDF, 1.5M]

  15. Ghil, M., I. Zaliapin, and B. Coluzzi (2008) Boolean Delay Equations: A Simple Way of Looking at Complex Systems. Physica D, 237, 2967-2986. doi:10.1016/j.physd.2008.07.006, arXiv:nlin/0612047 [PDF, 3.7M]

  16. Slepchenko, B., I. Semenova, I. Zaliapin, and V. Rodionov (2007) Switching of membrane organelles between cytoskeletal transport systems is determined by regulation of the microtubule-based transport, J. Cell Bio., doi : 10.1083/jcb.200705146. [PDF, 1.5M]

  17.  Ghil, M., et I. Zaliapin (2006) Une nouvelle source de fractales: les equations booleennes avec retard, et leurs applications aux sciences de la planete, in L'irruption des geometries fractales dans les sciences, Une apologie de l'oeuvre de Benoit Mandelbrot, Editions de l'Academie Europeenne Interdisciplinaire des Sciences, Paris, pp. 161-187. (In French) [PDF, 4M]

  18. Keilis-Borok, V., A. Soloviev, A. Gabrielov, and I. Zaliapin (2006) Change of scaling before extreme events in complex systems. Pontificae Academiae Scientiarum, Acta 19, The Proceedings of the Plenary Session on Predictability in Science: Accuracy and Limitations, 3-6 November 2006, pp. 37-45.

  19. Cvitanic, J., B. Rozovskii, and I. Zaliapin (2006) Numerical estimation of volatility values from discretely observed diffusion data, Comp. Finance. 9(4), 1-36. [PDF, 1.9M]

  20. Zaliapin, I., H. Wong, and A. Gabrielov (2006) Hierarchical Aggregation in Percolation Model, Tectonophysics, 413, 93-107. [PDF, 0.8M]

  21. Keilis-Borok, V., P. Shebalin, A. Gabrielov, D. Turcotte, and I. Zaliapin (2006). Short-term earthquake prediction by reverse analysis of lithosphere dynamics. Tectonophysics, 413, 63-75. [PDF, 0.8M]

  22. Cvitanic, J., R. Liptser, B. Rozovskii, and I. Zaliapin (2005) Filtering volatility from data observed at random time intervals, Proceedings of the 7th Workshop on Stochastic Numerics, Research Institute for Mathematical sciences, Kyoto University, Japan, pp. 1-25. [PDF, 1.4M]

  23. Zaliapin, I., Y. Kagan, and F. Schoenberg (2005) Approximating the distribution of Pareto sums  Pure. Appl. Geophys., 162, 1187-1228. [PDF, 0.8M]

  24. Zaliapin, I., H. Wong, and A. Gabrielov (2005) Inverse cascade in percolation model: Hierarchical description of time-dependent scaling. Phys. Rev. E, 71, 066118. [PDF, 0.8M]

  25. Zaliapin, I., I. Semenova, A. Kashina, V. Rodionov (2005) Multiscale trend analysis of microtubule transport in melanophores. Biophysical J., 88(6): 4008-4016, 2005 [PDF, 0.4M]

  26. Zaliapin, I., A. Jin, Z. Liu, K. Aki, and V. Keilis-Borok (2005) Temporal (un)correlations between coda Q-1 and seismicity – Multiscale Trend Analysis. Pure. Appl. Geophys., 162, 827-841. [PDF, 0.5M]

  27. Pisarenko, V. F., A. A. Lyubushin, M. V. Bolgov, T. A. Rukavishnikova, S. Kanyu, M. F. Kanevskii, E. A. Savel’eva, V. V. Dem’yanov, and I. V. Zaliapin (2005) Statistical Methods for River Runoff Prediction. Water Resources, 32, 2, 115–126.

  28. Zaliapin, I., A. Gabrielov, and V. Keilis-Borok (2004) Multiscale Trend Analysis. Fractals, 12 (3), 275-292. [PDF, 1.6M]

  29. Kashina, A., I. Semenova, P. Ivanov, E. Potekhina, I. Zaliapin, and V. Rodionov (2004) Protein kinase A that regulates intracellular transport forms complexes with molecular motors on organelles. Current Biology, 14, 1-20. [PDF, 2.5M]

  30. Shebalin, P., V. Keilis-Borok, I. Zaliapin, S. Uyeda, T. Nagao, and N. Tsybin (2004) Advance short-term prediction of the large Tokachi-oki earthquake, September 25, 2003, M=8.1 A case history, Earth Planets Space, 56, 715-724. [PDF, 0.6M]

  31. Grasso, J.-R. and I. Zaliapin (2004) Predictability of volcano eruption: lessons from a basaltic effusive volcano. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31, No. 5, L05602, doi: 10.1029/2003GL019022. [PDF, 0.2M]

  32. Zaliapin, I., Keilis-Borok, V., and Ghil M. (2003) A Boolean Delay Model of Colliding Cascades. I: Multiple Seismic Regimes. J. Stat. Phys., 111, 3-4, 815-837. [PDF, 1.6M]

  33. Zaliapin, I., Keilis-Borok, V., and Ghil M. (2003) A Boolean Delay Model of Colliding Cascades. II: Prediction of Critical Transitions. J. Stat. Phys., 111, 3-4, 839-861. [PDF, 0.7M]

  34. Keilis-Borok, V., P. Shebalin, and I. Zaliapin (2002) Premonitory Patterns of Seismicity Months Before a Large Earthquake: Five Case Histories in Southern California. Proc. Nat. Ac. Sci., 99, 16562-16567. [PDF, 0.6M]

  35. Zaliapin, I., Z. Liu, G. Zoeller, V. Keilis-Borok, and D. Turcotte (2002) On increase of earthquake correlation length prior to large earthquakes in California. Comp. Seismol., 33, 141-161. [PDF, 1.8M]

  36. Zaliapin, I., Keilis-Borok, V., and Axen G. (2002) Premonitory Spreading of Seismicity Over the Fault Network in S. California: precursor Accord, J. Geophys. Res., 107, 2221. [PDF, 1M]

  37. Peresan, A., Rotwain, I., Zaliapin I., and Panza. G. F. (2002) Stability of intermediate-term earthquake predictions with respect to random errors in magnitude: the case of Central Italy, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 130, 117-127. [PDF, 0.3M]

  38. Gabrielov, A. M., Keilis-Borok, V. I., Zaliapin I. V., and Newman W. I. (2000) Critical transitions in colliding cascades. Phys. Rev. E, 62, 237-249. [PDF, 1.1M]

  39. Gabrielov, A. M., Zaliapin I. V., Keilis-Borok, V. I., and Newman W. I. (2000) Colliding Cascades as a Model for Earthquake Prediction. Geophys. J. Int., 143, 427-437. [PDF, 0.4M]

  40. Shebalin P., I. Zaliapin, and V. Keilis-Borok (2000) Premonitory raise of the earthquakes correlation range: Lesser Antilles, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 122: 3-4, 241-249. [PDF, 0.5M]

  41. Pisarenko, V. F., Zaliapin, I. V., Kuznetsov, I. V., Lyubushin, A. A., Kushnir A. F., and Rukavishnikova, T. A. (2000) Applied analysis of point processes and fields. Statistical analysis of seismic migration. Comp. Seismol. 31. (In Russian).

  42. Zaliapin, I. V. Statistical analysis of point fields and its application to the problem of detecting seismic migration. Ph.D. thesis. International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Ac. Sci., Moscow. (In Russian), 1999.

  43. Zaliapin, I. V., and Pisarenko, V. F. (1999) On some properties of the estimation of the coefficient of variation of a point process intercurrence times. Proc. of Chelyabinsk Sci. Center 3, 6-10. (In Russian). [PDF, 0.1M]

  44. Zaliapin, I. V., Kuznetsov I. V., and Pisarenko, V. F. (1998) Estimation of voting results under existence of interrelations of respondents’ opinions. Proc. of Chelyabinsk Sci. Center 1, 99-108. (In Russian).